Game-by-Game Breakdown for best DFS plays

  • Home
  • Game-by-Game Breakdown for best DFS plays

Game-by-Game Breakdown for best DFS plays

BY SKEETER ROBINSON
Special to PressBox 790 Sports
@SkeeterRobinson

 

Divisional Playoff weekend is usually the best of the year with the final 8 teams in action. However, for the first time (and maybe only time?) in NFL history, we will have 6 games this weekend: 3 each day. There will be all weekend slates, slates for each day, 2-game slates, and showdown slates. Lots of options for you to choose from or play them all if you so choose. Instead of going position by position for the playoffs, I will go game by game since there are so many possible slates to play.

 

 

Saturday Games

 

 

IND @ BUF: Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley are Questionable, with Diggs probably closer to probable, and Beasley being a true game-time decision. It is hard to argue against Josh Allen in this spot, as he has put up multiple 30+ point games in the second half of the season, and the Colts have given up 20+ in every game in the second half except last week against the Jaguars. The nice thing about him is that in main slates, you do not have to pair him up with a receiver if you do not want to; though Gabriel Davis is a low-cost option you can pair him with. If Diggs does play, that is probably the top QB-WR stack this weekend. As for the Colts, I am not interested in a lot of them. I think Tre’Davious White will be on T.Y. Hilton, meaning there is some intrigue with Michael Pittman. I would limit Pittman to Saturday only or showdown slates. You can use Jonathan Taylor if you think the Colts keep this close enough for him to run. He does not catch many passes so if you think the Bills win by 10+ points, you probably do not want to pay up for him.

 

 

LAR @ SEA: The first two games between these teams have resulted in game totals of 29 and 39 points, and I do not expect much scoring between these two division rivals, playing for a third time. If Jared Goff, who is Questionable, misses, John Wolford is playable at a cheap price. Do not expect much from him, as 15 would be decent for him in this game. I have some interest in Cam Akers and Chris Carson, since they are under 6k, but I am not forcing them into my lineups. The main four receivers in this game are all in the 6k range, but I do not have much interest in paying up for them in main slates. In short slates, I would rank them in this order: Kupp, Woods, Lockett, Metcalf (he will be limited with Jalen Ramsey on him). Playing either defense is viable here, especially Seattle if Wolford starts.

 

 

TB @ WSH: Mike Evans, Terry McLaurin, Antonio Gibson, and Alex Smith are all Questionable for this game. Gibson is likely to play and McLaurin is closer to probable. Smith will probably start but concern about a QB rotation and if he can play a whole game. Evans is truly questionable, and even if he plays, would be limited. Tampa’s run defense is among the best in the league, so I would look at J.D. McKissic as a playable RB, since he is the pass-catching RB. Logan Thomas can always be used, but he is a little too pricey for me on the main slate. If Evans misses, Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown are playable. Washington’s front four should get some pressure on Tom Brady, slowing him down from his past two weeks, and not an awful defense to play due to the pressure they should get.

 

Sunday Games

 

 

BAL @ TEN: A rematch from the Divisional Round last year, the Titans won in overtime back in Week 11. The Titans have given up 34.3 points per game in their last three games and gave up 20+ in 12 of their 16 games. The Ravens are clicking on offense right now. Lamar Jackson is my QB1 this weekend (Allen is QB2 on Saturday). I like pairing him up with Marquise Brown, who has scored a touchdown in five of his last six games. Mark Andrews and J.K. Dobbins are fine plays as well. There is not anyone I think is a must-play for the Titans, but all the main pieces can be used. Corey Davis is the best value on the Titans side, with Jonnu Smith being a decent tight-end punt. I do not think I will be paying up for Derrick Henry, though I will never fault you for doing so on shorter slates or showdown.

 

 

CHI @ NO: Darnell Mooney will likely be questionable, Alvin Kamara appears to be on track to return on Sunday, and Michael Thomas may be back for the Saints. If Kamara is back, he should be the focal point and worth paying up for in DFS contests. Jared Cook is also in play as the Bears struggle against the TE position. David Montgomery continues to produce 20+ points and could be used here against the Saints. Cole Kmet continues to be targeted heavily in the Bears’ offense and is a good cheap play.

 

CLE @ PIT: There are no concerns of players missing this game as of this writing on Thursday night. The Steelers lost by 2 in Cleveland last week, while resting Ben Roethlisberger. He averages 21 points at home, so he would be a good option in the mid-tier. I will keep going to Diontae Johnson, who has seen 10+ targets in six of the final eight games this season. Kareem Hunt has been a little boom/bust in recent weeks, but this means he is cheap and if you are looking for an RB2 on any of these slates, or a cheaper captain in showdown, he does provide value. Any of the secondary Browns WRs can be used here as cheap plays, along with Chase Claypool in any slate, and James Washington in showdowns.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *